Simulation-based Boundary Crossing Probability, version 1.1 (c) Bahjat Qaqish, 2003 The distribution of all possible outcomes (events/subjects): Events Subjects Boundary Probability 2 2 upper 0.008151 3 4 upper 0.001314 3 5 upper 0.003032 3 6 upper 0.004861 4 8 upper 0.000605 4 9 upper 0.001385 4 10 upper 0.002343 5 12 upper 0.000272 5 13 upper 0.000639 5 14 upper 0.001077 5 15 upper 0.001485 5 16 upper 0.002114 6 18 upper 0.000263 6 19 upper 0.000533 6 20 upper 0.000882 6 21 upper 0.00122 6 22 upper 0.001668 7 24 upper 0.000191 7 25 upper 0.00041 7 26 upper 0.000609 7 27 upper 0.000884 7 28 upper 0.001107 7 29 upper 0.001532 8 31 upper 0.000161 8 32 upper 0.00035 8 33 upper 0.000532 8 34 upper 0.000705 8 35 upper 0.001065 9 37 upper 0.000116 9 38 upper 0.000238 9 39 upper 0.000396 9 40 upper 0.000575 9 41 upper 0.00072 9 42 upper 0.000912 10 44 upper 0.000123 10 45 upper 0.000222 10 46 upper 0.000346 10 47 upper 0.000484 10 48 upper 0.000592 10 49 upper 0.000758 10 50 upper 0.000927 11 52 upper 8.3e-005 11 53 upper 0.000224 11 54 upper 0.000311 11 55 upper 0.000435 11 56 upper 0.000573 11 57 upper 0.00075 12 59 upper 6.8e-005 12 60 upper 0.000144 0 60 right 0.00343 1 60 right 0.020687 2 60 right 0.060655 3 60 right 0.115727 4 60 right 0.161971 5 60 right 0.177736 6 60 right 0.159703 7 60 right 0.118725 8 60 right 0.075262 9 60 right 0.039177 10 60 right 0.015691 11 60 right 0.002849 P(event) = 0.09 Maximum sample size = 60 P(Hitting the lower boundary) = 0 P(Hitting the upper boundary) = 0.048387 P(Hitting the right boundary) = 0.951613 E[#events/#subjects] = 0.104867 S[#events/#subjects] = 0.105756 E[#events] = 5.22001 S[#events] = 2.08941 E[#subjects] = 58.0359 S[#subjects] = 9.44623 E[] denotes the mean, S[] denotes the standatd deviation Program: cp3s CPU time: 12.671 seconds Real time: 13 seconds Date and time: Tue Jul 27 12:32:02 2004