Exact Boundary Crossing Probability, version 1.3
(c) Bahjat Qaqish, 2003

The distribution of all possible outcomes (events/subjects):

    Events   Subjects   Boundary    Probability
         4          4      upper         0.0016
         4          5      upper        0.00512
         0          6      lower       0.262144
         4          6      upper        0.01024
         1          7      lower      0.3145728
         4          7      upper       0.016384
         4          8      upper      0.0229376
         4          9      upper    0.029360128
         4         10      upper   0.0322961408
         2         10      right   0.1409286144
         3         10      right   0.1644167168

P(event) = 0.2
Maximum sample size = 10
P(Hitting the lower boundary) = 0.576717
P(Hitting the upper boundary) = 0.117938
P(Hitting the right boundary) = 0.305345
E[#events/#subjects] = 0.181771
S[#events/#subjects] = 0.159038
E[#events]     = 1.56143
S[#events]     = 1.34424
E[#subjects]   = 7.80716
S[#subjects]   = 1.68372
E[] denotes the mean, S[] denotes the standard deviation
Program: cp3
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Date and time: Mon Jun 06 12:52:46 2005